Ynet reports that the head of Egyptian intelligence, Abbas Kamel, warned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that "something fierce will happen from Gaza" ten days ago. Reportedly, "Netanyahu seemed unbothered, said the IDF is 'swamped' in dealing with terror from the West Bank."
Netanyahu's office has denied the claims.
This question will resolve YES if substantial evidence emerges by the end of 2024 that Abbas Kamel warned Benjamin Netanyahu about an unusually serious operation about to be launched out of Gaza less than two weeks before October 7. It will resolve NO otherwise.
"Substantial evidence" is rather subjective, so I will exercise some discretion in determining whether this question should resolve YES or not. However, I will err on the side of being conservative: if credible sources disagree about whether this is true or not by the end of 2024, the question will resolve as NO. The evidence needs to be fairly unambiguous in order to resolve this question positively.
1,000
1.00
@Shump No. The resolution criteria explicitly state that it has to be the head of intelligence warning Netanyahu directly. Just general warnings by the Egyptian government to the Israeli government at lower levels would not be sufficient for this to resolve YES.