Mass detention being defined as at least 100k more people detained by US Government for specifically immigration reasons than numbers detained on 1 January 2025.

• Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve to YES, both of the following conditions must be met:

  • The mass detention policy (as defined in the description) is implemented.

  • Elon Musk publicly breaks with Trump.

The public break does not need to be explicitly because of the detention policy.