Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed? | Manifold

Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed?

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33

Ṁ5717

Jan 1

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves positive 1 month after a credible news report of serious injury or death.

Resolves negative when the clinical trials finish.

Resolves ambiguous if trials are stopped early.

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If someone dies but the consensus is that the death was completely unrelated to the procedure (e.g. homicide), does that count as YES for this market?

I'd also like an answer for this - @ElliotDavies can you please confirm

@12c498e @shankypanky No - the death needs to be plausibly a result of Neuralink

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