Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin dies between January 29, 2025, and February 16, 2026, inclusive. The market will resolve to "No" if he does not die within this period. Verification will be based on credible news reports from reputable sources such as the Associated Press, BBC, or Reuters.
Considerations
Speculation about Putin's health has been ongoing, with various unconfirmed reports suggesting potential health issues. However, the Kremlin has consistently denied these claims, and no official confirmation has been provided.
1,000
1.00@PaulBenjaminPhotographer This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin dies between January 29, 2025, and February 16, 2026, inclusive.
Edit: am i missing something else?
@EnricoCaminiti No worries, just the year of the snake happens every 12 years...
There is a real chance Putin makes it to see the next year of the snake and it would mean resolution would need to be delayed until he finally does die if any year of the snake counted.
(Pretty sure he doesn't make the next the next year of the wood snake, in 2085)