Will the EU force messaging apps to scan encrypted messages for CSAM?
Mini
3
Ṁ80
2025
24%
chance

The EU has been toying with the idea of fundamentally breaking E2EE by enforcing client-side scanning of CSAM in private messages. This has been met with a lot of criticism, both from EU officials and external academics and security professionals.

Now the question is, will they do so before the end of 2025?

Resolution criteria:

  • If EU passes a law mandating scanning of encrypted messages for CSAM, resolves as YES.

  • If no such law is passed, or E2EE platforms are carved an exception, resolves as NO.

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