I was thinking in terms of the stock market https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alphabet_Inc.

@ErnestLee Alphabet is already the #4 company by market cap. Apple and Microsoft are bigger. What does "dominant" mean here?

https://companiesmarketcap.com/

Companies ranked by Market Cap - CompaniesMarketCap.com

Ranking the world's top companies by market cap, market value, revenue and many more metrics

@tfae You’re right in this case Microsoft would be bigger, but I don’t feel like Microsoft is dominating Google marketshare in search, the most visited website, Search, Ads, Youtube, Cloud (Azure cloud is beating GCP). That said analysis of this point is a good idea.

@ErnestLee It sounds like you’re still workshopping the criteria a bit. Care to clarify if this resolves based on stock market or market share of certain industries? I suspect there are several different interesting questions that this market could spawn.

@Charlie @tfae I think the fairest interpretation is any company that replaces Google's dominant market position in the same market. It doesn't make sense to say a company in different market replaces Google's dominant market position.

1. search (Google Search is used more often than Microsoft Bing)

2. the most visited website (the top 2 are google https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_visited_websites)

3. ads (https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2023/06/googles-ad-tech-dominance-spurs-more-antitrust-charges-report-says/)

4. youtube (as far as I can tell youtube overtakes tiktok)

Resolving directly on stock market doesn't make sense to me, as the top 3 are Microsoft, Armco and Apple with Google being 4th. Can be clarified.

Since Google is not dominant in cloud hosting as of today - September 4th 2023. I will remove Google from cloud hosting consideration. (33% AWS, 20% Azure, 10% GCP) https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/cloud-market-share-whos-winning-losing-sanjay-t-s/

Cloud Market Share: Who's Winning and Who's Losing?

The cloud computing market is one of the fastest-growing segments of the IT industry. In 2022, the global cloud computing market was valued at $494.

So for hypothetical example Microsoft Bing being the dominant search engine would be a valid replacement for Google Search.

Google Maps currently dominates the mobile maps market with an 80% market share and over a billion users over 10-12% Apple maps. https://analyticsindiamag.com/can-apple-draw-better-maps-than-google/

Can Apple Draw Better Maps than Google?

Google Maps currently dominates the mobile maps market with an 80% market share and over a billion users

So if google gets replaced in any market in which it is currently dominant, this resolves YES? Or all of them?

1. Search

2. Website visits

3. Digital ads

4. Video

5. Maps

@Charlie I am in favour of this.

To be clear I mean, this resolves YES on any of the following:

1. Search

2. Website visits

3. Digital ads

4. Video

5. Maps

@ErnestLee Cool! Probably worth updating the description with the firmer resolution criteria since sometimes folks don't think to dig through the comments.

How will "market position" be measured? In particular, is it market share in search engines only, or being the most visited website overall? Which source will be used for this? Google has multiple businesses (Search, Ads, YouTube, Cloud) – does it count if one of them are dethroned?