CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0%

Ṁ7785

2033

ALL

96%

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

59%

Tim Cook at Apple

50%

Bob Iger at Disney

21%

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

17%

Elon Musk at Tesla

15%

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

11%

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

11%

C. C. Wei at TSMC

11%

Sundar Pichai at Google

11%

Mary Barra at General Motors

10%

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Doug McMillon at Walmart

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Resolved

N/A

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

The first three CEOs to be out will be marked 100%, then everyone else will be marked 0%.

Out means not CEO anymore. That includes the company being dissolved, bought, etc.

If the company splits, to survive they must be leader of the largest part.

If the company is bought they can only survive by being the CEO of the resulting company.

If the company changes name, no issue as long as they're still CEO.

If the company has no CEO, they must at least still be the clear single solo leader.

Part of the 2023 CEO Tontine Markets:

/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-three-of-these-tw

/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-one-of-these-19-c

/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-three-of-these-tw-66fee6b25cc1

Update 2025-07-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If three CEOs have not left their positions by the market's close date, the close date will be extended. The market will continue until the resolution condition is met.

Update 2025-07-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If three CEOs have not left their positions by the market's close date, the close date will be extended. The market will continue until the resolution condition is met.

#Experimental

#CEO Tontine

#CEOs of companies

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1,000

and

1.00

9 Comments

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bought Ṁ20 Tim Cook at Apple YES

Tim Cook possibly on his way out: https://www.techpowerup.com/341644/apple-weighs-john-ternus-as-potential-successor-to-ceo-tim-cook

This feels like the kind of market that tracks a lot of factors into one number. Stuff like "will this company have a scandal soon", "will their business be in jeopardy", etc., and then also more boring stuff like "how is this person's health".

I feel like this is an interesting market to get notifications for.

The total is 468, @traders not too bad for day one, but you can go farther

@Ernie is the sort order by market cap or something? Do you have any opinion on changing the default sort to either High% or A-Z?

@Ernie What happens if it gets to the close date without three CEOs leaving?

@BoltonBailey it'll be extended. Tontines keep going until they resolve

@Eliza set to highest, thanks for pointing that out

@BoltonBailey making it later now

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