He must publicly state something like "I am a X" where X is the name of a religious or mystical group. It doesn't have to be large but it has to be that kind of group

Counts

• I am a Christian

• I am a daoist

• I believe in Mormonism

• I have started a new religious group which I lead, the reincarnationizers

• I am a believer in grand epivosism

Wouldn't count

• I am an anarchist

• I am a millennial

• I am a dualist

• I am a simulationist

• I favor daoism

• I admire Christianity

• I prefer Hinduism

• I abhor Buddhism

• I believe in social darwinism

We will evaluate based on reason falling back to the best public AI/LLM, asking it to estimate probabilities and resolving yes if a repeated set of fair tests results in scores above fifty percent. We will give it the contents of this claim but not the judging rules or the info that it's a bet.

We will include all relevant written info from the time around the claim, with dates, up to a week before and after. Attempts at resolution may be made whenever, I will judge them. If it's a trick or a manipulation it won't count. We're attempting to judge what is "actually happening" by his practice and stated beliefs. Video, audio, text, etc are available as evidence.