MANIFOLD
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US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
14
Ṁ570
2031
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:

Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.

#Entertainment and Pop Culture
#Taylor Swift
#Travis Kelce
#Fertility
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Ṁ1,000
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27% chance
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86% chance
Will Taylor Swift have a child?
77% chance
Will Taylor Swift get married by the end of 2025?
7% chance
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80% chance
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Will Taylor Swift get married by the end of 2025
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