If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate?
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14
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2027
17%
chance

This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift publicly confirms or credible sources report that she used a surrogate for any pregnancy resulting in a child born before January 1, 2027. If she becomes pregnant and gives birth herself, the market resolves to NO.

If Taylor Swift does not get pregnant/a surrogate does not become pregnant with a child Taylor plans to raise before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to N/A.

Notes:

• “Credible sources” include major news outlets or statements from Swift or her representatives.

• Speculative rumors without credible backing will not suffice for a YES resolution.

• Wording note: one commenter has said “if she uses a surrogate she isn’t pregnant” and while this is technically accurate, it has become common parlance for celebrities to describe surrogacy as a pregnancy, or announce a pregnancy and later reveal that a surrogate was involved. So for the purposes of this market, understand “pregnant“ to mean “a surrogate is pregnant with a child Taylor Swift plans to raise, or Taylor herself is pregnant”. Update: have updated the market title accordingly.

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If she surrogates then she is not pregnant. Wrong wording.

@AaronCE Added a clarification in the description, thanks!