Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
Plus
29
Ṁ70362026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tests, accidental detonations, and peaceful nuclear explosions are not included. During 2025, UTC time.
The weapon must detonate to be included. A detonation will include any explosion where the nuclear yield exceeds the conventional yield.
This is intended to be a derivative market of /EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc-xh4ms2fck1 . If there are differences or relevant edge cases that would prevent that from being a good interpretation of this question, please point them out promptly.
See also: /EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-6cba7b4a2e34
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
59% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
24% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
15% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated during 2024?
7% chance
Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will there be an accidental nuclear detonation in 2024?
2% chance