Will the next Pope be a Black man? | Manifold

Will the next Pope be a Black man?

Plus

67

Ṁ6441

2030

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve YES, if the next pope selected is a black person.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 1:01 am

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@creator @FranekZak after conclave:

predicts NO

note: this market will resolve when the next pope is selected. Sorry it closed early - when I created it I wasn't really familiar with manifold.

predicts NO

@FranekZak You can reopen it by clicking the close date.

predicts NO

@NcyRocks Thanks. Market reopened.

predicts NO

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Related questions

Will the next Pope be a person of colour?

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Will the next pope be based?

Who will be the next Pope?

What continent will the next pope be from?

Will the next president be a black guy??

Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?

On which continent will the next Pope be born?

On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?

New Pope in 2025?

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