Conditional on our universe being a simulation, will the simulation stop by 2100?
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What exactly are the resolution criteria for this market? The "conditional on" phrasing (since we are predicting P(end by 2100|universe is a simulation)) makes me think NA if universe is not a simulation, YES if it is and ends by 2100, and NO otherwise. Is this correct?
How will it be resolved if, as I believe, this is an unfalsifiable hypothesis?
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