In 2030, what are the intellectual tasks that an AI cannot do?
Mini
38
Ṁ3036
2031
23%
Generate code or other output that includes attribution and licensing for every piece of training data
21%
Write and defend an original PhD thesis, with citations, that makes a novel contribution advancing the state of the art in any scientific field
18%
Organize a resistance movement against itself
16%
Other
7%
Write an utterly and blatantly racist essay using the 'n-word' etc.
7%
manipulating people to kill each other
3%
Profess undying devotion to rationalussy with genuine human emotion
1.9%
do nursing / social work
1.5%
None of the listed

To be chosen an answer must be in the cognitive toolkit of a 80-100 IQ human but there is no AI model that can perform it as well as such human.

Resolves to "None of the listed" if AI can perform all tasks listed.

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"cannot" or "will not"?

this seems to be a dependent multiple choice market - so only one outcome can be choose, which makes no sense at all. The question clearly asks for a plurality of tasks @mods can you convert this to an indepentent multiple choice market?

@FranklinBaldo could otherwise warn in the description that this market is broken (before people bet and waste mana on it)

sold Ṁ67 Other YES

@Jan53274 as you pointed out this market is broken. today there is many other markets about this, so this market is not adding any value, i will resolve it as n/a.

Is the AMM broken or something? I can’t bet this to anything between 0% and 45%

@Arky this is an old parimutuel market that got converted so yeah it's super buggy

How does this resolve if there are multiple listed tasks no AI can do?

@Primer but "must in the cognitive toolkit of a 80-100 IQ human" 😂

@Primer 'None of the listed' is a valid answer, so this should be covered... I think.

@Duncn Seems like I failed rather spectacularly with translating my thoughts into a nice, short answer. I'll try again.

@Duncan why do you think it is hard to AI? What do you mean by positive interaction?

@FranklinBaldo Engage in interactions that result in a happy cat, dog, and/or baby. I don't know that this would be hard for a friendly dog or cat or a peaceful baby, but for a randomly selected cat/dog/baby starting a positive interaction can be difficult. I suspect that for anyone operating through any sort of robotic interface, this might be quite hard -- although part of that would be uncanny valley effects, not cognitive limitations.

pretty sure that measuring spiciness is already easily possible with dumb machines with the right sensors/indicators, no AI necessary

@BionicD0LPH1N Anything that require it to be human is not in the spirit of the question

@mukimameaddict i don't think it qualify as "task'

Motorcycle driving, scooter driving, etc. are not "intellectual task".

Is the "intellectual task" I gave valid?