Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035
Mini
8
Ṁ164
2035
45%
chance

Resolves yes if SpaceX or Starlink have satellites orbiting the moon providing internet connectivity on the surface and between Earth and the Moon by 2035.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00

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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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, minus a 5% fee.
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