When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
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22
Ṁ2255
2026
31%
By end of February 2025
52%
By end of March 2025
72%
By end of June 2025
93%
By end of December 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of December 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of September 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of June 2024

Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit

Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached

Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch

Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)

UTC is used

Related markets:

/Nat/when-will-starship-first-deploy-a-c

/TimDuffy/will-spacex-deploy-any-starlink-sat

/chrisjbillington/will-starshipsuper-heavy-deliver-a

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Resolving 'By end of December 2024' to NO as I believe the following information is sufficiently conclusive (next launch not till next year and still suborbital)