Will we collectively be able to bring all markets on Manifold above 10 traders?

Plus

Ṁ482

2040

23%

chance

ALL

It's frustrating for creators and sad for the platform to have so many markets with very few traders. It would help if more people would bet at least 1 mana on these markets.

Please post old and new markets with less than 10 traders in the comments, so that they can get a boost.

This market will resolve YES if it trades for more than 4 weeks at 99%. It will resolve NO if it trades for more than 4 weeks at 1%.

#Manifold

#Meta-markets

#Meta-Forecasting

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I believe these are all below 10 traders https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/when-will-manifold-shut-downread-de https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-we-discover-an-extraterrestria https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-there-be-someone-intentionally https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-we-get-agi-before-ww3

When will Manifold shut down?(READ DESC)

32% chance. Resolves to 100%-(days from the date of creation of this market/10). Resolves no on july 10th 2027.

I have changed the resolution criteria. The market now resolves NO if it trades for more than 4 weeks at 1% (instead of below 1%) and YES if it trades for more than 4 weeks at 99% (instead of above 99%).

It seems like what would be needed here is to be able to use the total traders option in the browse view, but sorted by a low number rather than a high number of traders. Should be a relatively easy addition.

Meanwhile, I'm not sure "get all markets above 10 traders by making a bunch of small bets" is a good goal. Some markets are by people who are no longer active users or have a history of resolving markets poorly, and people should be using their judgment about which markets to participate in.

It is, however, a prosocial act to boost or subsidize a market that asks a question you would like to see get a good answer, and maybe manifold could put in place incentives to encourage this behavior.