Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
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43
แน€47k
2029
33%
Keir Starmer
22%
Robert Jenrick
21%
Kemi Badenoch
10%
Other
6%
Nigel Farage
2%
James Cleverly
1.5%
Ed Davey
1.3%
Idris Elba
1.2%
Angela Rayner

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This market will close when the election is called, as to prevent those watching live election results from abandoning their positions right before a Prime Minister is selected.

Note: if Labour replaces Keir Starmer without calling a general election, this question will not resolve. To resolve, a general election must be held, and a prime minister subsequently appointed.

If the UK government ceases to exist or function, or if democratic general elections cease as a practice, etc., this question will be cancelled.

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bought แน€150 Idris Elba YES

Just wanted idris Elba at the top

Ed Davey

@Noit got to respect the Lib Dem SURGE potential.

bought แน€150 Kemi Badenoch NO

@Noit Winning Here

opened a แน€50 Robert Jenrick YES at 18% order

boughtแน€7Rupert Lowe YES

@JoshuaWilkes he tweets really well

Looks like the Conservative candidate will be either Jenrick or Badenoch. With 33 MPs backing Jenrick and 28 backing Badenoch and 21 to both the other candidates out of 121. The MPs will take the candidates down to 2 soon with a membership vote deciding the final candidate. Membership poll below:

bought แน€25 Robert Jenrick YES

Membership vote for the tories candidate will officially be between Badenoch and Jenrick.

@Greyhawk Why so confident on Jezza?

Imagine a 2030 where the UK is ruled by Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Jeremy Clarkson, and Piers Morgan, meanwhile America is ruled by Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, RFK Jr, Tucker Carlson, Ben Shapiro, and Dennis Prager

@TheAllMemeingEye Russian soldiers recreate the famous picture from WW2, of hoisting their flag on the German Parliament.