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Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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26
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2027
69%
chance
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1W
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Resolves to True if Lula is on the ballots for president in 2026

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#Brazil
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https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/amp/poder/2025/10/lula-confirma-disputa-de-quarto-mandato-em-viagem-a-indonesia.shtml

Metacalculus is substantially lower (45%) https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/29214/will-lula-be-a-candidate-for-reelection-in-2026/

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