Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
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Poll by Reuters/Ipsos from October 2025:

Most Americans - including 80% of Democrats and 41% of Republicans - think the U.S. should recognize Palestinian statehood, a sign that President Donald Trump's opposition to doing so is out of step with public opinion, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/most-americans-support-us-recognition-palestinian-state-reutersipsos-poll-shows-2025-10-22/

I haven't tracked this topic in the past, so I don't know how this compares to previous opinion polls.

i think this is highly unlikely but related i’m trying to renew my passport and lmao at this verbal/mental gymnastics about whether palestine exists

@angeluspolitian This is not really about if Palestine exists, it's about if Jerusalem is part of Israel. I'm not sure what happens for a US citizen born in Ramallah or Jericho, say. Depends when. Do they write the Ottoman Empire if before 1918? I guess they would probably be dead. British Mandate if before 1948? Jordan if before 1967? What do they write for the 1967-Oslo period? After Oslo? I don't know how any of this works.