Aliens kill at least one human before 2035
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2035
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Resolves as YES if extraterrestrial life kills at least one human being before the year 2035.

Let R be the mean distance from the center of the Earth to the center of the Moon. An extraterrestrial life form is a life form that originated at a distance of 2R or greater from the Earth's center AND has no common ancestor with a terrestrial object or life form.

For our purposes something is a life form if it:

(1) Is an object made out of matter.

(2) The object consumes matter or energy.

(3) The object is the location of a physical or mechanical process that results in the consumption of more matter or energy. If this process ceases, the object is called 'dead' because it was once alive but over time property (3) ceased to be true.

(4) The object has the ability and the tendency (under favorable conditions) to convert consumed matter or energy into separate life forms that are similar in form and behavior to the lifeform that created the object.

What constitutes ancestry will be decided using common sense judgment based on the nature of reproduction.

The news of the human's death and the proof of the killer's alien origins must be provided by a news source or a scientific journal.

The judge of this claim reserves the right to ignore nitpicking and anything that smells like analytic philosophy when adjudicating claims. For example, if you have a really clever explanation for why a meteor that killed a pedestrian is a life form, I will tell you to go back to working on your Philosophy PhD on whether human gut flora are enslaved. The thing won't write itself. But perhaps, for some special definitions of the word 'write,' it will write itself?

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predicts NO

This might be my favourite market description 😆