When will a female chess player next rank in the top 10 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Plus
12
Ṁ10112100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
45%
In or before 2039
35%
In or before 2034
18%
In or before 2029
14%
In or before 2028
7%
In or before 2027
6%
In or before 2026
5%
In or before 2025
3%
In 2024
This question resolves according to the monthly ratings at https://ratings.fide.com/top.phtml.
For the purposes of this question, the player must be biologically female, regardless of gender identity.
Additional yearly dates may be added as needed.
Judit Polgár placed in the top 10 prior to her retirement in 2014.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Other than Judit Polgar, I believe Hou Yifan has come the closest. Her peak was #55 in May 2015: Hou Yifan - Wikipedia. But she's chosen other priorities in life besides chess and dropped out of the top 100.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 There is a market more relevant to Hou Yifan here: https://manifold.markets/HarrisonNathan/when-will-an-active-female-chess-pl?r=SGFycmlzb25OYXRoYW4
Related questions
Related questions
What year will someone surpass Magnus Carlsen on the list of Top Rated FIDE players?
When will an active female chess player next rank in the top 100 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?
Which chess players will be ranked as No. 1 player in the world at any point in their life?
Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?
65% chance
By 2030, will the majority of top10 rated chess players in the world be born during/after 2000?
60% chance
Will there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?
34% chance
Who will reach 1000 on chess.com first?
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
67% chance