When will the median software engineer employed today be unemployable in any job where they earn more than average due to their skills/experience as a software engineer.

If the job description changes a lot (e.g. instead of writing code, they manage an army of robot coders), that's fine as long they're still benefiting from their software development experience and earning substantially more than somebody who didn't have such experience.

Resolves based on my judgement. I won't trade in this market.

If it hasn't happened by 2040, resolves to the 2037-2040 bucket.