
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Premium
61
Ṁ22k2046
2,027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
63% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
93% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
85% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
84% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?
Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2026?
80% chance