Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer than 365 days before 2030? | Manifold

Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer than 365 days before 2030?

Plus

17

Ṁ2164

2030

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A related market (for year 2035): https://manifold.markets/IhorKendiukhov/will-sp500-grow-more-than-100-withi-c6zm320ulo?r=SWhvcktlbmRpdWtob3Y

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We've come surprisingly close to this before. The market bottom in March 2020 was around 2300, and a year later it reached almost 4000.

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