Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
10
แน€1476
2099

Invalid contract

This market resolves to the year in which Elon Musk next visits Russia. The visit must be confirmed by credible news sources or official statements from Musk or his companies.

If Musk does not visit Russia by the close date, this market will resolve to the answer that includes the close date year or later.

See also market for 2025 only:

https://manifold.markets/IliaSud/will-elon-musk-visit-russia-in-2025

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought แน€10 Answer #NO

Only one option can resolve yes, right?

@TheAllMemeingEye yes. I will change the names of options to better represent this

Why is the predicted date 961 even though that's clearly outside the possible range?

@AlexanderTheGreater I have no idea why. At first i wanted to create a market with single number and higher/lower bets, but couldn't find the option.

@IliaSud Ah with the 'threshold' style market you can't mix ranges and befores/afters. All the answers have to be before/after a date, not some after and some 2035-2040. It'd have to look like the following market (just a test market): https://manifold.markets/ian/year-of-elon-musks-next-visit-to-ru-59C955RA9p?play=true