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Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2029?
Mini
10
Ṁ285
2029
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Other resolution criteria than time are the same as in the corresponding Metaculus market.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13785/first-occupation-of-lunar-gateway/

#Space
#Science
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The same, with shorter time horizon.

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