
As of our 2023 light cone, is there extraterrestrial life in the galaxy?
Plus
16
Ṁ6189999
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves once we've explored the galaxy and can be pretty sure.
Panspermia counts iff it was:
From natural causes and not human spacecraft.
The life in question is replicating and growing to a successful enough extent that it doesn't seem likely to go extinct any time soon, and has spread out a significant distance from its landing point.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2036?
13% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
5% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
8% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
14% chance
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
40% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2026?
3% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2033?
10% chance
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
21% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2029?
7% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2031?
9% chance