How will a plurality of Manifold vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Plus
20
Ṁ1487Nov 5
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98%
Democrat
2.0%
Republican
0.0%
Alliance
0.0%
Constitution
0.0%
Green
0.3%
Libertarian
0.0%
An independent candidate
After the election, I will poll Manifold users to ask how they voted, and resolve this market to whichever party got the most votes in that poll.
The poll will not be anonymous, and if I find out that anyone answered the poll differently from how they actually voted, I will consider that dishonorable. Realistically though, I have no way to enforce accurate voting.
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@IsaacKing this market seems to imply that at least some serious fraction of Destiny's supporters like Democrat Raphael Warnock
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