If Manifold does not give me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
Mini
4
Ṁ612030
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Specifcally, the comparison is MAU's at the time of the grant compared to MAU's exactly 1 year later.
I made the title about me because I want this to reflect "people with opinions similar to mine about the correct growth strategy for Manifold to take". In practice I'd be asking for advice from several other users and it'd be more of a grassroots activity than a solo one. If Manifold provides such a grant to a group of users that includes me, I'll count that as satisfying the condition.
See also:
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
57% chance
Will Manifold hit 100,000 DAUs in 2024 if...
Six months after The Pivot, will Manifold double its daily active users?
27% chance
Will Manifold hit 10,000 DAUs in 2024?
1% chance
Will Manifold have more than 11000 Monthly Active Users at the end of 2024?
17% chance
How many monthly active Users will Manifold reach before the end of 2024?
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active users?
Will Manifold raise another $1M USD in 2024?
4% chance
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
66% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2025?
78% chance