MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
8
Ṁ187
2027
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending

2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.

#️ Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?
77% chance
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025? [Log Version]
16
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
68% chance
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025?
28
USA Foreign Military Sales in 2025 (Billion USD)
-
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
34% chance

Related questions

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
68% chance
Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?
77% chance
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025? [Log Version]
16
How much will the EU spend on military as a ‰ of its GDP during 2025?
28
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
USA Foreign Military Sales in 2025 (Billion USD)
-
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
34% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout