Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
Plus
17
แน17462026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria: Specify what constitutes "engaging in a war." For example:
This market resolves to "YES" if the United States is officially declared to be in a state of war with another country by an act of Congress or if there is clear and widely-acknowledged evidence of sustained military conflict involving U.S. forces on foreign soil (excluding minor skirmishes or peacekeeping missions) by January 1, 2026.
Clarifications:
Define "sustained military conflict" (e.g., conflicts lasting over 30 days or involving over 1,000 U.S. personnel).
Exclude drone strikes, cyberattacks, or covert operations unless they lead to broader conflict.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
What countries will the US be at war with in 2029?
Will a major war break out in 2025?
39% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
18% chance
Which countries will the United States be at war with by the end of 2025?
Will there be a military conflict between China and the United States by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will the U.S. be at war against Mexico by 2027 year end?
12% chance
Will the US and China be at war with each other before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?
60% chance
Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
5% chance