Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
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Plus
40
Ṁ12k
2026
19%
chance

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Ṁ1,000
and
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boughtṀ2,000YES

@gigab0nus it's just pretty clear to me where this is headed.

Probably going to buy more YES haha

Arb: the 2024 market should be no higher / this should be no lower

https://manifold.markets/NickAllen/will-the-us-be-at-war-with-iran-by

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 55% order

@spider can you add some resolution criteria please