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Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
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Ṁ3187
2026
12%
chance
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Resolves YES for the first test that happens between market open and close date.

#Iran
#Nuclear Risk
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See https://twitter.com/AnalyticaCamil1/status/1842797570671743070

Related: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-3865ab28bffd

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