Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
Plus
63
Ṁ24k2026
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, including reporting on weapons tests (reports that they had the weapon to perform the test are sufficient; they do not need to still be in possession of another one).
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
6% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
17% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
35% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
51% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
6% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
26% chance