The Bavarians, most likely

As noted in other similar markets, specifying resolution criteria would be important.

@Zozo001CoN It will be very obvious when superintelligence exists.

@IsaacKing then it should be no problem to define what do you mean by this.
Anyways, the principal issue for this market is not merely whether it exists, but how to judge who achieved it.

Feel free to suggest other orgs for me to add BTW. (I didn't make it free response so as to avoid overlapping answers.)

@IsaacKing Can you add Meta?

@AmitAmin Done

@IsaacKing USA Govt.

@MWC I feel like they'd probably work with an existing company?

@IsaacKing The USA DoD has their own AGI research division.