Will any astronomical object with redshift >= 20 be observed before 2030?
3
Ṁ57
2030
35%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_most_distant_astronomical_objects

Only objects count, and only those that can unambiguously be said to have been observed. If there's ambiguity over whether something should count, I'll go by the Wikipedia page's judgement after it looks like any active debate about it has died down.

The current highest as of market creation is z=14.32. For comparison, the CMBR has z=1089, which is the upper limit on how old an observable object can be.

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CEERS-93316 is photometrically 16.7 and the error is only up to .5 of compared to spectroscopic measurement

bought Ṁ45 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I think Wikipedia is wrong on the error; that's some sort of aggregate statistics, but it can have much higher deviations in some cases.

@IsaacKing but which direction?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Well probably downwards in this case, given that the more reliable spectroscopic measurement was way lower.