BTE Mafia is one I don’t mess with on this site.

@Predictor why is @datachef banned? Part of the Mob?

Any news on this?

Now that BTE is banned, when do we know more?

@TheWabiSabi What did BTE get banned for?

Regardless that doesn't seem relevant to this market.

You can learn more here: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-socialpredict-be-run-by-two-pu

BTE got banned for abusing a mana-printing exploit.

@BTE should I bet yes?

@firstuserhere Ouch

Betting against BTE is a fool's errand here

@StarkLN You are the smartest Manifolder of all my friend

@StarkLN Well maybe second smartest after @Mira

Here is a (hopefully) more publicly verifiable market on the same topic. https://manifold.markets/jack/will-socialpredict-be-run-by-two-pu

🤑🤑🤑

@BTE don't mind me, just offering incentive

I can't correct it since these are both subjective markets, but come on folks, these probabilities are obviously inconsistent.

@IsaacKing I didn't realize the secret plan working was the same thing as the site being successful but if that's the case then yeah this is very high.

@Joshua It's possible for this market to resolve YES while that one resolves NO; BTE's plan could work well enough to get his site to be somewhat popular, but it doesn't quite surpass Manifold. Or it gets super popular really quickly but then dies away before 2 years have passed.

But it's not a 50 percentage point difference.

Is his secret plan to get profit from the bots betting against him in this market?

Now that the website is up, the attempt is made and this will not resolve NA. So far, I don't see a plan that is worth keeping secret.

@marktwse maybe the secret plan is to get attention by having us all speculate about what his secret plan is

@BTE can you say more about the secret plan now that the site is launched?

@Joshua Absolutely. Blog post coming.

i hope it works, good luck @BTE

@BTE 👀

@firstuserhere 👀

@BTE They’re just freeing up mana