Is this your first pair?

@AlexBokov Yes

How often do you break your glasses?

@zsig By Laplace's law of succession, about 1/29 times per year.

@IsaacKing deets?

@AlexBokov https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_succession

@IsaacKing What is the reference class you are using?

@AlexBokov That was a joke, the base rate should obviously change when I go from "having no glasses" to "having glasses".

I just broke my glasses of 7 years, weakly updating in the direction of 2025 just being a cursed year for glasses