Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?
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https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2022, 2023, or 2024 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
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Unless something significant changes before end of 2024, this resolves no (e.g. the current 2024 budget is below the 2010, inflation adjusted).
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_States#Budget_by_year
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