https://manifold.markets/questionyours elf/putin-receives-his-fifa-peace-prize

US social security actuarial table gives him 12 years and based on SES and staying active he’s favored to exceed that

He is already past life expectancy for a Russian male.

@BTE But average life expectancy in Russia is calculated as average over the whole population, including drug addicts, smokers and alcoholics. Putin is neither, thus should have a higher individual life expectancy.

@Schwabilismus

@BTE On the other hand the war surely isn't easy for him and the stress might cause his health to deteriorate. Also there is a chance he might be overthrown and killed in the process.