Will websites give up on bot detection using captcha-like tasks by 2028? | Manifold

Will websites give up on bot detection using captcha-like tasks by 2028?

Plus

44

Ṁ1813

2028

53%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A "captcha-like task" is any task designed to be easily doable on a computer by a human and very difficult for bots.

If websites are still frequently using such tasks at the beginning of 2029, this market resolves NO. If they've switched over to other forms of verification like third-party documentation (e.g. a driver's license), biometric data, or given up entirely on telling bots apart from humans, it resolves YES.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Some websites are still using barely distorted text with a line through it as a captcha and that has been defeatable for a decade or so, how about the main X providers (Google, hCaptcha, and so on) not offering / strongly discouraging those tasks?

What counts as a task? E.g., what if the "task" is providing some biometric evidence that you are the person you claim to be? Would that count?

@ag No

Related questions

Which popular websites will be conquered by the bots by the end of 2025?

Will "chatbotting" replace "ghosting" by end of 2029?

Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will bots make free, open social media infeasible by the end of 2027?

Would internet bot traffic reach 90% by 2028?

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?

Will bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?

Related questions

Which popular websites will be conquered by the bots by the end of 2025?

Would internet bot traffic reach 90% by 2028?

Will "chatbotting" replace "ghosting" by end of 2029?

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?

Will bots make free, open social media infeasible by the end of 2027?

Will bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules