When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?
Mini
5
Ṁ2162028
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
1 Jan 2024
6%
1 Jan 2025
6%
1 Jan 2026
6%
1 Jan 2027
6%
1 Jan 2028
73%
Later than this/never
The USA presently regards prediction markets to be illegal gambling for elections. Resolves when this changes.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
50% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
44% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029 conditional on who wins the presidential election?
Real money political prediction markets will be legal in the US for a month before 2030
80% chance
Will Trump legalize prediction markets?
86% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Will anyone in the US be prosecuted for betting in an illegal prediction market before 2026?
17% chance
Will it be legal for Americans to bet on elections in 2026?
85% chance
If Trump wins in 2024, will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029?
36% chance