Will there be a ceasefire for at least a month in the Israel-Hamas conflict before 1 Jan 2025?
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Resolves to mainstream news consensus. Ceasefire must be between Israel and Hamas, continued fighting with Hezbollah or other paramilitaries/nations doesn’t count as breaking of the ceasefire. The ceasefire is broken if there is fighting again between Israel and Hamas in the form of shots fired.

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@Jack_Rose Does the entire 1 month period need to finish before 2025-01-01?