Which markets are more accurate? | Manifold

Which markets are more accurate?

7

Never closes

Manifold

Polymarket

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

It depends.

@SemioticRivalry False dichotomies only, please

Related questions

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)

Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will this market?

Is Polymarket more accurate than Manifold at p<0.05?

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Which function of predictive markets is most valuable long term?

Do you trade on markets based on the market value or your expectations?

Related questions

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Is Polymarket more accurate than Manifold at p<0.05?

Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)

Which function of predictive markets is most valuable long term?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Do you trade on markets based on the market value or your expectations?

Will this market?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules