When will Apple ship their next spatial computing device? (Apple Vision Pro successor)
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ1308
2030
58%
2025 or earlier
29%
2026
7%
2027
1.3%
2028
1.3%
2029
1.1%
2030
1.8%
2031 or beyond

This market tracks the general availability of the successor to the Apple Vision Pro released in 2024.

The year in which Apple makes their next "spatial computer" first available for (pre-)order will determine the resolution of this market. This includes a second-generation Apple Vision Pro or any other headset, regardless of its name (e.g., "Apple Vision," "Air," "Max," "Plus," etc.).

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Since this seems so focused on 2025/2026, I set up a monthly market:

bought Ṁ5 2026 YES

How will this market resolve if they just do an expanded run of an identical AVP version (no designation change) with the same features/hardware?

@MarkTerrano If the model identifier is anything other than RealityDevice14,1 it will resolve YES for the year it first becomes available for order.

Why isn’t 2024 an option?

@DavidFWatson I simply missed 2024. I'll update the 2025 option to include 2024.