Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months? | Manifold

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

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37

Ṁ2502

2025

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

For the purpose of this question, AGI is defined on a human-centric scales as follows:

"Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is the representation of generalized human cognitive abilities in software so that, faced with an unfamiliar task, the AGI system could find a solution. The intention of an AGI system is to perform any task that a human being is capable of."

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@JasonKuczek It seems a little boring to have this question close so long before its resolve date. Should it be reopened?

@EvanDaniel That’s a great point. This was one of my first questions. Rookie mistake. I’ll reopen it as soon as I figure out how to do that.

@JasonKuczek If you mouse over the close date in the upper right, an edit icon should appear:

@EvanDaniel Thanks for the tip!

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