What score will GPT-5 achieve on GPQA? | Manifold

What score will GPT-5 achieve on GPQA?

3

Ṁ77

Dec 31

1D

1W

1M

ALL

7%

< 80%

9%

80 - 83%

14%

83 - 86%

30%

86 - 89%

23%

89 - 91%

17%

> 91%

Resolves when GPT-5 is released and benchmarked on GPQA. Will resolve according to the highest compute setting the model is evaluated on (if applicable)

#Technical AI Timelines

#GPT-5 Speculation

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1,000

and

1.00

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