What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ550
2027
1,538
expected

Resolves to the first credible news story about GPT-5's performance on the SAT

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00


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bought Ṁ1 1460-1470 YES11mo

google's latest build of gemini reached ~parity with GPT4 despite probably throwing way more compute at it

bought Ṁ0 1500-1510 YES11mo

there's probably alpha in making bets just to smooth out the curve of numeric markets, with zero information about anything else

bought Ṁ1 1430-1440 YES11mo

my 90% confidence interval is 1430-1500