Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
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23
Ṁ21592027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.3%
Emmanuel Macron
31%
Edouard Philippe
13%
Gerald Darmanin
2%
François Bayrou
1.8%
Aurore Bergé
1.8%
Yael Braun-Pivet
46%
Gabriel Attal
3%
Since Macron is for the moment not allowed to run for a third term, who will assume the position of the center in the presidential election to come in 2027?
This market closes the 31/01/2027, as the person should be known by this date.
You can ask to add someone on this list in the comments, even if I think it is most unlikely anyone out of the people already mentionned will run.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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